By Daniel Lieberman, Matthias Jonas, Zbigniew Nahorski, Sten Nilsson
Uncertainty research is a key element of nationwide greenhouse gases stock analyses. the problems which are raised by means of the authors during this quantity, and the function that uncertainty research performs in lots of in their arguments and/or proposals, spotlight the significance of such efforts. insurance comprises: bottom-up as opposed to top-down emission stock techniques, compliance and verification matters, and the function of uncertainty in emissions buying and selling schemes.
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Additional resources for Accounting for Climate Change: Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories - Verification, Compliance, and Trading
3 Significance of Subjective Interpretation of Uncertainty this does not affect the overall emissions balance, such a difference may influence the interpretation of country intercomparisons and the relative weighing of abatement measures. Again, this difference results from a subjective interpretation of the guidelines. National data have been collected and used to calculate the N2O from soil emissions at the level of the 15 “old” member countries of the European Union (Boeckx and van Cleemput 2001) based on default emission factors from the IPCC guidelines.
However, the uncertainty surrounding emissions inventory estimates is widely accepted to vary substantially by source category, by country, and over time. Uncertainties are particularly high for some source categories, such as nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions from agricultural activities. As a result of this uncertainty, some analysts are concerned that compliance with commitments, as measured by inventory estimates, does not adequately measure progress toward meeting national commitments and may not adequately protect the environment.
The evaluation of uncertainty will be even more necessary if emission-calculating algorithms are accepted that are less than perfect as a result of the rigorous accounting technique proposed here. As part of such a review, designed to set new targets on emission reduction, the rules for emission accounting could also be adapted to reflect the latest state of science. uncertainty of three percentage points (introduced by the impossibility of fully readdressing historic data) may be reduced when assessing the uncertainty of trend differences between countries.
Accounting for Climate Change: Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories - Verification, Compliance, and Trading by Daniel Lieberman, Matthias Jonas, Zbigniew Nahorski, Sten Nilsson